Chances for a visual?

Hello everyone, this is my first time posting here.

I have a question with genetics and I’ve tried to resesrch and look it up, but i could not find any actual answers.

Im looking at purchasing two pied specimens that are both 66% het for lavender albino.

I am not the best with math, so if they were to breed, what are the chances of getting visual lavender albino babies?

Thank you so much for the help.

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66% hets are a risky gamble.

What that means is both parents were hets. So when you breed them, the ‘odds’ are the following:
1:4 visual
3:4 non visual

So that means that out of the potential 3 non visual hatchlings… 2:3 (66%) are het. 1(33%) is a normal.

When you buy a 66% het, you can potentially end up with both animals just carrying pied.

You can have them tested for lavender albino. If the results are that both DO have het lav then you have a 1:4 chance of dreamcicle
2:4 for pied het lav
1:4 for pied
The 3 Pieds because they cannot be told apart without testing would be your pied 66% het lav

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There is a 44.44% ((2 / 3) ^ 2 * 100%) chance of BOTH of the 66% het Lavender Albinos actually being het for Lavender Albino. Assuming you hit those odds, if you breed those two 100% het Lavender Albinos, each baby has a 25% (1 / 4 * 100%) chance of being visual Lavender Albino. If you put those two odds together, I think each baby has a 11.11% chance of being visual Lavender Albino.

@armiyana is right. If you are going to roll the dice and buy two 66% het Lavender Albinos, you should definitely have them both shed tested to prove if they are 100% het before you waste your time.

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Thanks so much for help breaking down for me. You’ve potentially saved me from making a silly investment.

The male pied is a black head yellow belly, and the female pied is a black head. So even if they did not make any visual lavender albino pieds, they could still make some nice combos. But i think I may save the money.

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Hello, and welcome to the community! As you can probably tell, there are so many helpful, kind, and knowledgeable members here!

If you haven’t discovered it yet, you can check out the Morphmarket calculator. If you input a male’s traits and a female’s traits, the calculator lists all the potential offspring traits from that pairing. However, in your specific case with the male and female being 66% het for lavender albino, you can’t input 66% hets into the calculator. It only allows for you to input recessive traits that are 100% het for that trait. So you can only input “het lavender albino” and get results based on the assumption that each parent is 100% het for a trait.

In any case, this is a great tool to play around with, even if you don’t plan on breeding. I use it a lot- both for fun, and for furthering my understanding of genetics.

https://www.morphmarket.com/c/reptiles/pythons/ball-pythons/genetic-calculator

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